The Potential Benefit of the United States Exporting Liquefied Natural Gas for Japan: Forecasting Natural Gas Price Changes

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dc.contributor.advisorPham, Van Hoang.
dc.contributor.authorLeistensnider, Andrew
dc.contributor.departmentUniversity Scholars.en_US
dc.contributor.otherBaylor University.en_US
dc.contributor.schoolsHonors College.en_US
dc.date.accessioned2013-05-23T23:39:08Z
dc.date.available2013-05-23T23:39:08Z
dc.date.copyright2013
dc.date.issued2013-05-23
dc.description.abstractThis paper estimated the change in price of liquefied natural gas (LNG) in world LNG markets and U.S. domestic markets if the U.S. were to start exporting LNG. We then calculated the estimated effect of such a change in the world price of LNG on the Consumer Price Index of Japan and the U.S. We considered what Japan’s demand for LNG would be if it ended its nuclear energy program. This paper uses the price elasticity of world demand and U.S. demand for LNG to estimate future price changes in five year intervals from 2015 until 2035. We found that the world price of LNG would drop 4-8% at current supply conditions and 6-12% at high natural gas well recovery conditions. We found that the U.S. price of LNG would rise around 10% every five years at current supply conditions and around 20% every five years at high natural gas well recovery conditions. Japan would benefit from the U.S. exporting LNG and the U.S. would also benefit.en_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/2104/8610
dc.language.isoen_USen_US
dc.rightsBaylor University projects are protected by copyright. They may be viewed from this source for any purpose, but reproduction or distribution in any format is prohibited without written permission. Contact libraryquestions@baylor.edu for inquiries about permission.en_US
dc.rights.accessrightsWorldwide accessen_US
dc.titleThe Potential Benefit of the United States Exporting Liquefied Natural Gas for Japan: Forecasting Natural Gas Price Changesen_US
dc.typeThesisen_US

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